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What happened
According to the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS), Medicare Advantage enrollment is projected to fall to 34 million in 2026, down from nearly 35 million this year. This marks the first decline in nearly two decades. Analysts suggest that health insurers are responding to shrinking profits by raising deductibles and out-of-pocket costs while cutting broker commissions on 15% to 20% of plans. Despite these challenges, CMS anticipates that enrollment will stabilize, with seniors having an average of 10 plans available. The open enrollment period starts on October 15, and seniors are encouraged to shop around for the best options, as some plans may see significant cost increases. The looming government shutdown is not expected to impact the enrollment process, as funding for Medicare services has already been allocated.
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Key insights
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1
Enrollment Decline
Medicare Advantage enrollment is set to decrease for the first time in nearly 20 years.
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2
Higher Costs
Seniors may face increased deductibles and out-of-pocket expenses in 2026.
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3
Broker Commission Cuts
Insurers are reducing commissions on many plans to discourage enrollment in unprofitable options.
Takeaways
Seniors should carefully evaluate their Medicare options during the upcoming open enrollment period.