Key insights
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1
Strategic realignment of trade routes: The closure of Pakistan-Afghanistan borders is catalyzing a realignment of trade corridors, empowering India and Iran to bypass Pakistan and reshape regional economic linkages.
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Geopolitical opportunity for India: India's investment in Chabahar port and diplomatic engagement with Afghanistan represent a calculated move to increase influence in Afghanistan and diminish Pakistan's dominance in regional trade.
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3
Sanctions and infrastructure as limiting factors: US sanctions on Iran and infrastructure deficits at Chabahar port create significant barriers to fully operationalizing this trade route, influencing the pace and sustainability of the shift.
Takeaways
India's push to develop the Chabahar port as Afghanistan's main trade gateway marks a significant strategic shift driven by deteriorating Pakistan-Afghanistan relations. However, infrastructural and sanction-related constraints will test the durability of this new trade alignment.
Topics
World & Politics Policy & Regulation International Affairs Trade & Tariffs