Virginia joins National Popular Vote compact, adding 13 electoral votes
Change
Virginia signed legislation joining the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact, adding 13 electoral votes and bringing the compact to 222 pledged electors toward the 270-elector threshold required for the compact to determine future presidential winners.
Why it matters
The compact creates a binding mechanism that will make the nationwide popular-vote total dispositive once states controlling a majority of electoral votes enact it, changing what metric decides the presidency. Election administrators and campaign planners must therefore adapt operational and modeling assumptions that currently focus on state-by-state paths to victory.
Implications
- — Presidential campaign strategy teams should begin scenario-planning for a popular-vote-decisive election now — if the compact reaches 270 electoral votes, campaigns that have not adjusted state-level resource allocation will be caught flat-footed.
- — Secretaries of state election offices in compact member jurisdictions must amend certification and elector-appointment procedures before the compact reaches 270 electoral votes — if they do not, their states may be unable to lawfully bind electors to the national popular-vote winner when the compact activates.
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