The fixed dates create a near-term window for any ceasefire or confidence-building steps to be tabled before the invasion anniversary, tightening decision timelines for military planning and allied support packages. Medinsky’s appointment signals Moscow is bringing a senior political negotiator associated with maximalist terms, raising the likelihood the agenda shifts from technical deconfliction to sovereignty/security demands that are harder to trade. Organizations with Ukraine exposure should plan for continued kinetic risk through the talks, including strikes on energy infrastructure that can disrupt power reliability and logistics.